Just saw another clip of John McCain promising "change" in Washington if he's elected president.

If John McCain continues to run on "change," Barack Obama will be the next president. McCain has been in Washington for nearly three decades. Now he's an outsider? Obama represents real "change."

If John McCain continues to insist the "fundamentals" of the economy are strong, then backtracking by saying he meant the American work force is strong, Barack Obama will be the next president. Praising workers will generate applause at a political rally. Expressing no real appreciation for the nation's economic crisis will give voters reason for pause about McCain's competency.

John McCain will win the presidency if one or more of the following occurs:

Obama and/or Joe Biden perform poorly in the debates.

Young people don't turn out in full force for Obama.

Blacks don't turn out in full force for Obama.

A substantial number of Americans otherwise inclined to vote for a Democrat don't do so because he's black.

A substantial number of women otherwise inclined to vote for a Democrat don't do so because McCain's running mate is a woman.